Volume 11, Issue 2 (8-2024)                   Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental Hazards 2024, 11(2): 0-0 | Back to browse issues page

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hamedi N, esmaeily A, faramarzi H, shabani S, mohseni B. Analysis of Wildfire Hazard Potential in Zagros Forests: Investigating Spatial and Temporal Changes and Influential Factors. Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental Hazards 2024; 11 (2)
URL: http://jsaeh.khu.ac.ir/article-1-3450-en.html
Analysis of Wildfire Hazard Potential in Zagros Forests: Investigating Spatial and Temporal Changes and Influential Factors
Negar Hamedi1 , Ali Esmaeily1 , Hassan Faramarzi2 , Saeid Shabani 3, Behrooz Mohseni4
1- Graduate University of Advanced Technology
2- tarbiat modares university
3- Golestan Agricultural and Natural Resources Research and Education Center , saeidshabani07@gmail.com
4- Golestan Agricultural and Natural Resources Research and Education Center
Abstract:   (458 Views)
Forest fire in many ecosystems is a natural phenomenon, but also a serious and dangerous threat with environmental, ecological, and physical effects. Therefore, this research investigated the risk areas of fire in Zagros forests identification to evaluate the changes in the time series of deals with a potential fire hazard. To achieve this goal fuzzy layers of analysis network process and order weighted average method were used regularly. For this purpose, fire Zagros forests using satellite images Landsat and MODIS Lordegan city in the period between 2000, 2007, and 2014 and the factors affecting fire are examined. The high-risk areas based on classification utility area and the number of zones were identified as fire-prone areas. In the analytical network process procedure, the largest weighs were assigned to the distance from residential areas and roads, GVMI index, and maximum daily air temperature factors which were 0.209, 0.198, 0.09, and 0.0716, respectively. Time series analysis map showing the extent of critical areas from 2000 to 2014 decreased by investigating the factors affecting fire occurrence in critical areas, distance for roads and residential areas, slope, aspect, GVMI index, and NDVI and maximum temperatures have the greatest impact were on fire. The low-risk scenario and a small amount of compensation with the ROC higher than 0.7 as the best model was the estimated risk of forest fires. The preparation of a map of areas susceptible to fire, as well as analyzing and analyzing the time series of factors affecting the fire in different years, is an effective step in helping forest managers to plan and implement preventive operations in high-risk areas.
 
Keywords: Analytical Network Process, Lordegan, Time Series, Order Weighted Average
     
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special
Received: 2024/06/16 | Accepted: 2024/09/11 | Published: 2024/09/11
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